KENTUCKY DERBY 2019: BETTING ODDS, FAVORITES, AND HOW TO PICK A WINNER
The Kentucky Derby is less than a week off, along with the Run for the Roses is shaping up for a wide-open race in 2019. While lovers and amateur race bettors revolve around the favorites, the professional players and bettors interested in a much better payoff believe this is going to be the year a favorite does not win the Kentucky Derby.
KENTUCKY DERBY POST POSITIONS AND ODDS Post places and opening odds were published on Tuesday morning. The first 20-horse field of 3-year-olds was made up from the Top 20 points earners throughout the 35 Derby prep races from September through April leading up to the Kentucky Derby on May 4.
Two horses — Omaha Beach and Haikal — were scratched this past week. Bodexpress substituted Omaha Beach in the Area.
Betting Odds Offered by TVG (Click here to get $20 Free, just for signing up!) BETTING THE KENTUCKY DERBY
Why is the Kentucky Derby such a great wagering opportunity? Beyond being a major event and the largest 3-year-old race on the planet, that the Derby is piled with a 20-horse area. So a big betting pool with a great deal of uniform money is bet on the Kentucky Derby.Now while the favorites have won the last six runnings of the Run for the Roses, these favorites have paid out pretty well between $6.60 and $12.80 to a $2 win bet. But it’s the chance for a huge exacta, trifecta or superfecta score which brings more bettors out for the Derby.
When preferred Always Dreaming won in 2017, a $2 exacta with Lookin‘ In Lee (33-1) returned $336.20. A 1 trifecta with Battle of Midway (40-1) in 3rd returned 8,297.20. And a $1 superfecta with Classic Empire (6-1) at 4th compensated $75,974.50.
Thus, a significant score is potential from the Derby, and many recreational bettors will overlook the possible midrange or lengthy shots with a few value and potential to hit the board.
ALSO READ: Exacta? Trifecta? The Way to Get Exotic In The Kentucky Derby
2019 KENTUCKY DERBY RUNNERS AND CONTENDERS
These three horses will take the most wagering activity and one of them will go off since the Kentucky Derby favorite:
Roadster: First place in Santa Anita Derby
Game Winner: Second place in Santa Anita Derby, Champion at 2-year-old and Breeders‘ Cup Juvenile winner Improbable: Second Arkansas Derby
The next wave of contenders includes the other four major prep winners:
Tacitus: First Wood Memorial
Maximum Security: First Florida Derby
Vekoma: First Blue Grass
By My Standards: First Louisiana Derby
The remaining two-thirds of the Derby field will provide some potential for a large score. Remember in the 2017 Kentucky Derby, Always Dreaming won with a clean trip and good post over a sloppy track, but super longshots at 33-1 and 40-1 finished third and second to activate big exotic payouts.
Plus Que Parfait: First UAE Derby
Code of Honor: Third Florida Derby
War of Will: Ninth Louisiana Derby
Cutting Humor: First Sunland Derby
Tax: Second Wood Memorial
Win Win Win: Second Blue Grass
Country House: Third Arkansas Derby
Long Range Toddy: Sixth Arkansas Derby
Spinoff: Secondly Louisiana Derby
Gray Magician: Second UAE Derby
Master Fencer: Second Fukuryu Stakes (Japan)
KENTUCKY DERBY RECENT HISTORY
The 2019 Kentucky Derby will have the largest bag in the Derby’s 145-year history of $3 million. The race-day favorite at post time has won the Kentucky Derby six years in a row, such as in 2018 if Justify won the Run for the Roses on his way to Triple Crown glory. American Pharoah (2015) was also a Triple Crown winner, joining the extended 37-year drought without a Triple Crown winner.KENTUCKY DERBY TIPS
Beyond having some places to bet on the Kentucky Derby like best online websites TVG, TwinSpires and BetAmerica, start looking for sportsbooks that provide more Derby betting alternatives like head-to-head matchup wagering. As more legal sports novels enter the market in the US, like FanDuel Sportsbook, DraftKings Sportsbook and PointsBet, you will also see these sportsbooks get creative and supply special offers and promotions on big events such as the Kentucky Derby.
In handicapping and preparing to the Kentucky Derby, you can be more informed and have a better chance to win if you follow some simple hints from experts like Mike Shutty; writer of Super Screener and founder of Horse Racing Nation.
Learn to project the speed of the race
Form cycle investigation — look at contenders form cycle
Exercise evaluation — last workouts before Derby
While we wait patiently for its Derby draw, closing workouts and monitor state, some early signs are that a horse in midrange chances like Tacitus is clearly effective at winning the 2019 Kentucky Derby.
Longshots such as Spinoff or Maximum Security can’t be ruled out on the win or Top 3 finish, while By My Standards is another potential under kind horse which could offer a major payoff even when the proposed preferred Roadster were to continue advancement and operate well to win.
Mike Smith, who road Justify to a Kentucky Derby victory and Triple Crown achievement, has opted to ride Omaha Beach rather than Roadster.
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