KENTUCKY DERBY 2019: BETTING ODDS, FAVORITES, AND HOW TO PICK A WINNER
The Kentucky Derby is less than a week away, and the Run for the Roses is shaping up to be a wide-open race in 2019. While fans and recreational race bettors focus on the favorites, the professional bettors and players interested in a better payoff believe this will be the year a favorite doesn’t win the Kentucky Derby.
KENTUCKY DERBY ODDS AND POST POSITIONS Post positions and opening odds were released on Tuesday morning. The original 20-horse area of 3-year-olds was made up from the Top 20 points earners during the 35 Derby prep races from September through April leading up to the Kentucky Derby on May 4.
Two horses — Omaha Beach and Haikal — were scratched this week. Bodexpress replaced Omaha Beach from the field.
Betting Odds Offered by TVG (Click here to get $20 Free, just for signing up!) BETTING THE KENTUCKY DERBY
Why is the Kentucky Derby such a great wagering prospect? Beyond being a major event and the largest 3-year-old race on the planet, the Derby is piled with a 20-horse area. Therefore a big gaming pool with a lot of uniform money is bet on the Kentucky Derby.Now while the favorites have won the previous six runnings of the Run for the Roses, these favorites have paid out fairly well between $6.60 and $12.80 to a $2 win wager. But it’s the opportunity for a huge exacta, trifecta or superfecta score which brings out more bettors to the Derby.
When favorite Always Dreaming won in 2017, a $2 exacta with Lookin‘ In Lee (33-1) returned $336.20. A 1 trifecta with Battle of Midway (40-1) at 3rd returned $8,297.20. And a $1 superfecta with Classic Empire (6-1) at 4th paid $75,974.50.
Thus, a big score is potential from the Derby, and many recreational bettors will miss the possible midrange or lengthy shots with a few value and potential to hit on the board.
ALSO READ: Exacta? Trifecta? How To Get Exotic At The Kentucky Derby
2019 KENTUCKY DERBY RUNNERS AND CONTENDERS
These three horses will take the maximum wagering action and among them will go off since the Kentucky Derby preferred:
Roadster: First place in Santa Anita Derby
Game Winner: Second place at Santa Anita Derby, Champion at 2-year-old and Breeders‘ Cup Juvenile champion Improbable: Second Arkansas Derby
The next wave of contenders contains another four leading prep winners:
Tacitus: First Wood Memorial
Maximum Security: First Florida Derby
Vekoma: First Blue Grass
By My Standards: First Louisiana Derby
The remaining two-thirds of this Derby area will offer some possible for a big score. Recall in the 2017 Kentucky Derby, Always Dreaming won with a clean trip and decent post over a sloppy track, but super longshots in 33-1 and 40-1 finished second and third to trigger big exotic payouts.
Plus Que Parfait: First UAE Derby
Code of Honor: Third Florida Derby
War of Will: Ninth Louisiana Derby
Cutting Humor: First Sunland Derby
Tax: Second Wood Memorial
Win Win Win: Second Blue Grass
Country House: Third Arkansas Derby
Extended Range Toddy: Sixth Arkansas Derby
Spinoff: Second Louisiana Derby
Gray Magician: Second UAE Derby
Master Fencer: Second Fukuryu Stakes (Japan)
KENTUCKY DERBY RECENT HISTORY
The 2019 Kentucky Derby will have the largest purse in the Derby’s 145-year history of $3 million. The race-day favored at post time has won the Kentucky Derby six years in a row, such as in 2018 when Justify won the Run for the Roses in his way to Triple Crown glory. American Pharoah (2015) was also a Triple Crown winner, snapping the long 37-year drought without a Triple Crown winner.KENTUCKY DERBY TIPS
Beyond using a few places to wager on the Kentucky Derby like best online websites TVG, TwinSpires and BetAmerica, start looking for sportsbooks that offer more Derby betting options like head-to-head matchup wagering. As more legal sports books enter the marketplace in america, like FanDuel Sportsbook, DraftKings Sportsbook and PointsBet, you will also find these sportsbooks get more creative and offer special offers and promotions on big events such as the Kentucky Derby.
In handicapping and preparing for the Kentucky Derby, you can be more informed and have a better chance to win if you follow some simple tips from experts like Mike Shutty; author of Super Screener and creator of Horse Racing Country.
Learn How to project the pace of the race
Form cycle analysis — seem at contenders form cycle
Workout analysis — last workouts before Derby
While we wait patiently for its Derby draw, closing workouts and track state, some early signs are that a horse at midrange chances like Tacitus is obviously effective at winning the 2019 Kentucky Derby.
Longshots like Spinoff or Maximum Security can not be ruled out on the win or Top 3 finish, while By My Standards is just another possible underneath type horse which could offer a major payoff even when the proposed preferred Roadster were to continue improvement and operate well to triumph.
Mike Smith, who street Justify to a Kentucky Derby success and Triple Crown accomplishment, has opted to ride Omaha Beach rather than Roadster.
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