KENTUCKY DERBY 2019: BETTING ODDS, FAVORITES, AND HOW TO PICK A WINNER
The Kentucky Derby is less than a week off, along with the Run for the Roses is shaping up for a wide-open race in 2019. While lovers and amateur race bettors revolve around the favorites, the expert bettors and players interested in a much better payoff think this will be the year a favorite does not win the Kentucky Derby.
KENTUCKY DERBY POST POSITIONS AND ODDS Post positions and opening chances were released on Tuesday morning. The first 20-horse area of 3-year-olds was made up from the Top 20 points earners throughout the 35 Derby prep races from September through April leading up to the Kentucky Derby on May 4.
Two horses — Omaha Beach and Haikal — were scratched this past week. Bodexpress substituted Omaha Beach from the Area.
Betting Odds Provided by TVG (Click here to get $20 Free, just for signing up!) BETTING THE KENTUCKY DERBY
Why is the Kentucky Derby such a great wagering prospect? Beyond being a significant event and the largest 3-year-old race on the planet, that the Derby is stacked with a 20-horse area. Therefore a big betting pool with a lot of uniform money is bet on the Kentucky Derby.Now while the favorites have won the last six runnings of the Run for the Roses, these favorites have paid out pretty nicely between $6.60 and $12.80 on a $2 win wager. Nonetheless, it’s the chance for a huge exacta, trifecta or superfecta score which brings out more bettors for the Derby.
When preferred Always Dreaming won in 2017, a $2 exacta with Lookin‘ In Lee (33-1) returned 336.20. A $1 trifecta with Battle of Midway (40-1) in 3rd returned 8,297.20. And a $1 superfecta with Classic Empire (6-1) at 4th paid $75,974.50.
So, a big score is potential from the Derby, and most recreational bettors will miss the potential midrange or lengthy shots with a few value and potential to hit the board.
ALSO READ: Exacta? Trifecta? How To Get Exotic At The Kentucky Derby
2019 KENTUCKY DERBY RUNNERS AND CONTENDERS
These three horses will require the most wagering action and among these will go off as the Kentucky Derby preferred:
Roadster: First location in Santa Anita Derby
Game Winner: Second place at Santa Anita Derby, Champion in 2-year-old and Breeders‘ Cup Juvenile winner Improbable: Second Arkansas Derby
The next wave of contenders includes the other four leading prep winners:
Tacitus: First Wood Memorial
Maximum Security: First Florida Derby
Vekoma: First Blue Grass
By My Standards: First Louisiana Derby
The remaining two-thirds of the Derby field will provide some potential for a large score. Remember in the 2017 Kentucky Derby, Always Dreaming won with a clean trip and good post over a sloppy track, but super longshots in 33-1 and 40-1 finished third and second to trigger large exotic payouts.
Plus Que Parfait: First UAE Derby
Code of Honor: Third Florida Derby
War of Will: Ninth Louisiana Derby
Cutting Humor: First Sunland Derby
Tax: Second Wood Memorial
Win Win Win: Second Blue Grass
Country House: Third Arkansas Derby
Extended Range Toddy: Sixth Arkansas Derby
Spinoff: Secondly Louisiana Derby
Gray Magician: Second UAE Derby
Master Fencer: Second Fukuryu Stakes (Japan)
KENTUCKY DERBY RECENT HISTORY
The 2019 Kentucky Derby will have the biggest purse in the Derby’s 145-year history of $3 million. The race-day favorite at post time has won the Kentucky Derby six years in a row, such as in 2018 if Justify won the Run for the Roses in his way into Triple Crown glory. American Pharoah (2015) was also a Triple Crown winner, snapping the long 37-year drought with no Triple Crown winner.KENTUCKY DERBY TIPS
Beyond having some places to wager on the Kentucky Derby like best internet sites TVG, TwinSpires and BetAmerica, look for sportsbooks that provide more Derby betting options like head-to-head matchup wagering. As more legal sports books enter the marketplace in america, like FanDuel Sportsbook, DraftKings Sportsbook and PointsBet, you will also see these sportsbooks get more creative and offer special offers and promotions on big events such as the Kentucky Derby.
In handicapping and preparing for your Kentucky Derby, you’ll be more informed and have a better chance to win if you follow some basic hints from experts like Mike Shutty; writer of Super Screener and founder of Horse Racing Nation.
Learn How to project the speed of the race
Form cycle investigation — look at contenders form cycle
Workout analysis — last workouts before Derby
While we wait for its Derby draw, closing workouts and monitor state, some early signs are that a horse at mid odds like Tacitus is obviously capable of winning the 2019 Kentucky Derby.
Longshots like Spinoff or Maximum Security can’t be ruled out on the win or Top 3 finish, while By My Standards is another potential under kind horse that would offer a major payoff even when the projected favorite Roadster were to continue improvement and run well to win.
Mike Smith, who street Justify to a Kentucky Derby success and Triple Crown accomplishment, has opted to ride Omaha Beach rather than Roadster.
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