Handicapping NASCAR’s Championship Four at Homestead-Miami Speedway

Kyle Busch, Kevin Harvick, Martin Truex Jr. and Joey Logano will race to the 2018 Monster Energy NASCAR Cup Series championship Sunday in Homestead-Miami Speedway (Green flag: 3:03 p.m. ET, NBC).

According to gambling odds from Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook, Busch and Harvick will be the favorites in +200, followed by Truex (+275) and Logano (+450).
Employing results and 2018 loop data, we provide pick to a championship and also handicap the race.
After 35 races, Kyle Busch, Kevin Harvick, Martin Truex Jr. and Joey Logano have earned the right to battle for the 2018 Monster Energy NASCAR Cup Series (MENCS) championship Sunday at Homestead-Miami Speedway.

Busch (2015),“ Harvick (2014) and Truex (2017) have notched one championship in their own careers, while Logano is trying to secure his first.

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It’s not surprise to visit Busch, Harvick and Truex still alive, as“The Big Three“ combined to win 20 of the 35 regular-season races this past year. Logano scored two wins himself, but rode 25 top-10 endings to earn his shot.

Using historical loop info from FantasyRacingCheatSheet.com, let’s break down the contenders to determine the best bet to win the 2018 Monster Energy NASCAR Cup Series championshipgame.

The Track
Even though Homestead-Miami joins a handful of additional MENCS tracks at 1.5 miles in length, there actually aren’t any other people on the circuit like it.

Homestead delivers banking, which allows drivers to run many lines.

The track surface is also quite abrasive, and which makes rubber a huge benefit and wears out tires.

With tire wear creating automobiles hard to drive and progressive banking allowing motorists to select different lines, passing is easier here than most other 1.5-mile paths that are too reliant upon aero for speed and therefore make follow-the-leader racing.

For the analysis below, I decided to analyze the four races at Hometead-Miami Speedway.

Applying four races might appear a bit arbitrary, but I chose on that amount for two particular factors. First, 2014 was the year which NASCAR went into the current playoff format in which drivers advance through the game’s playoff until four remain to race .

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