BIG MARLEY’S UFC FIGHT NIGHT 133 DRAFT KINGS FANTASY BREAKDOWN

This week, we have a 13-fight card at Boise, Idaho. It is headlined by Junior Dos Santos vs Blagoy Ivanov, that will be making his UFC debut. DraftKings has smaller contests with this card since it is only a Fight Night card using lesser known name, but there’s still well over $100k to be won. I’ll be pursuing my fair share of that money and that I hope you guys will be . Listed below are a couple plays I enjoy this weekend along with my fade of the week.
Money Game play of the week — Alexander Volkanovski ($9,200)
I think Volkanovski is the“safest“ play on this card and his -300 betting line would concur with me. That’s where I’ll be starting my lineup this week and I’ll figure the rest out from there. Volkanovski averages 116.5 DK points during his first four UFC fights therefore he’s got a ton of upside as well. He could potential score over two other winners on this particular card combined. I do think he is in play for GPPs as well for this reason, but he will probably be the most peculiar owned fighter on the card and we do not care about ownership as much in cash games. I would suggest paying up for the expensive cost in your cash games and then look for at least 3 others wins you’re confident in.
GPP drama of this week — Junior Dos Santos ($8,700)
JDS ought to be the way better striker inside this struggle and I believe this is where the fight will occur. He could get KO’d at the opening minutes of this battle and score 0 points, but this is what makes him a GPP drama in lieu of a cash match play. With these two Heavyweights, we need to likely see a KO inside the 25-minues and I feel the former winner, JDS, will be the one to get it. He’s got great takedown defense so he ought to be able to maintain this fight on the toes where he will have a 4-inch achieve advantage to work with.
Underdog drama of the week — Niko Price ($7,900)
Niko will be my underdog drama of this week. The odds demonstrate that the fight should be rather close and there’s a great possibility he utilizes his wrestling to obtain the benefit. In 5 fights that he hasn’t seen a decision however, and there’s a chance it stays that way if he gets Brown to the ground. Niko includes some slick entrances in his arsenal along with a great deal of heart. On the toes, Brown likely has the advantage with his reach, but Cost does have any sneaky power too, which can’t be overlooked. Overall, I enjoy this as a GPP play.
Fade of this week — Alejandro Perez ($9,100)
Perez is the 2nd most expensive fighter on this card and he is only $100 cheaper than Volkanovski. In my view, Perez will require a end to have a shot at paying off that expensive salary and I do not want to invest in that, personally. He has never landed more than one takedown at a struggle and Wineland has exceptional takedown defense, therefore we must see this battle take place on the feet. I believe Perez needs to be the one to receive his hand raised in the conclusion but I think that it will be via decision. If that’s the case then he can score ~60 points in a win, and at $9.1k that isn’t likely to win anyone a championship. I will be full fading Perez this week and hoping he does not get the end and he’s my official evaporate of this week.
If you would like my full-card DraftKings breakdown with investigation on each fight, my private strategies & recommendations, and my selection prediction for every fight then it is possible to find that under the Premium Picks tab on MMAoddsbreaker should you click on Upcoming Picks. Or you can just go to this link below:
https://mmaoddsbreaker.com/mmaob-premium/upcoming-picks

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