KENTUCKY DERBY 2019: BETTING ODDS, FAVORITES, AND HOW TO PICK A WINNER

The Kentucky Derby is less than a week away, along with the Run for the Roses is shaping up to be a wide-open race in 2019. While fans and amateur race bettors revolve around the favorites, the expert players and bettors interested in a much better payoff believe this will be the year a favorite doesn’t win the Kentucky Derby.
KENTUCKY DERBY ODDS AND POST POSITIONS Post positions and opening odds were released on Tuesday morning. The first 20-horse area of 3-year-olds was made up from the Top 20 points earners throughout the 35 Derby prep races from September through April leading up to the Kentucky Derby on May 4.
Two horses — Omaha Beach and Haikal — have been scratched this past week. Bodexpress replaced Omaha Beach from the field.
Betting Odds Offered by TVG (Click here to get $20 Free, just for signing up!) BETTING THE KENTUCKY DERBY
What’s the Kentucky Derby such a great wagering prospect? Beyond being a major event and the largest 3-year-old race in the world, that the Derby is piled with a 20-horse area. So a big gaming pool with a lot of uniform money is bet on the Kentucky Derby.Now while the favorites have won the last six runnings of the Run for the Roses, these favorites have paid out fairly nicely between $6.60 and $12.80 to a $2 win wager. But it’s the chance for a big exacta, trifecta or superfecta score which brings more bettors out for the Derby.
When favorite Always Dreaming won in 2017, a $2 exacta with Lookin‘ In Lee (33-1) returned $336.20. A 1 trifecta with Battle of Midway (40-1) at 3rd returned $8,297.20. And a $1 superfecta with Vintage Empire (6-1) in 4th compensated $75,974.50.
Thus, a significant score is possible from the Derby, and many recreational bettors will miss the potential midrange or long shots with some value and potential to hit the board.
ALSO READ: Exacta? Trifecta? How To Find Exotic In The Kentucky Derby
2019 KENTUCKY DERBY RUNNERS AND CONTENDERS
These three horses will take the maximum wagering action and among these will go off as the Kentucky Derby preferred:
Roadster: First location in Santa Anita Derby
Game Winner: Second place at Santa Anita Derby, Champion in 2-year-old and Breeders‘ Cup Juvenile winner Improbable: Second Arkansas Derby
The next wave of contenders contains the other four leading prep winners:
Tacitus: First Wood Memorial
Maximum Security: First Florida Derby
Vekoma: First Blue Grass
By My Standards: First Louisiana Derby
The rest of the two-thirds of the Derby area will offer some potential for a big score. Recall in the 2017 Kentucky Derby, Always Dreaming won with a clean trip and good post on a sloppy track, but super longshots in 33-1 and 40-1 finished third and second to trigger big exotic payouts.
Plus Que Parfait: First UAE Derby
Code of Honor: Third Florida Derby
War of Will: Ninth Louisiana Derby
Cutting Humor: First Sunland Derby
Tax: Second Wood Memorial
Win Win Win: Second Blue Grass
Country House: Third Arkansas Derby
Extended Range Toddy: Sixth Arkansas Derby
Spinoff: Second Louisiana Derby
Gray Magician: Second UAE Derby
Master Fencer: Second Fukuryu Stakes (Japan)
KENTUCKY DERBY RECENT HISTORY
The 2019 Kentucky Derby will have the biggest bag in the Derby’s 145-year history of $3 million. The race-day favored at post time has won the Kentucky Derby six years in a row, including in 2018 when Justify won the Run for the Roses in his way to Triple Crown glory. American Pharoah (2015) was also a Triple Crown winner, snapping the long 37-year drought with no Triple Crown winner.KENTUCKY DERBY TIPS
Beyond using a few places to bet on the Kentucky Derby like top internet sites TVG, TwinSpires and BetAmerica, look for sportsbooks that provide more Derby betting options like head-to-head matchup wagering. As more lawful sports novels enter the market in america, such as FanDuel Sportsbook, DraftKings Sportsbook and PointsBet, you will also see these sportsbooks get creative and supply special offerings and promotions on big events such as the Kentucky Derby.
In handicapping and preparing for the Kentucky Derby, you’ll be informed and have a better chance to win if you follow some simple hints from experts like Mike Shutty; author of Super Screener and founder of Horse Racing Nation.
Learn How to project the pace of the race
Form cycle analysis — look at contenders form cycle
Workout analysis — last workouts before Derby
While we wait patiently for its Derby draw, final workouts and monitor condition, some early indications are that a horse in midrange chances like Tacitus is clearly capable of winning the 2019 Kentucky Derby.
Longshots like Spinoff or Maximum Security can’t be ruled out on the win or Top 3 finish, while By My Standards is another possible under kind horse which would offer a big payoff even if the projected favorite Roadster were to continue improvement and operate well to win.
Mike Smith, who street Justify to a Kentucky Derby success and Triple Crown achievement, has elected to ride Omaha Beach rather than Roadster.

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